Question

Grocery prices in the United States have gone down

Answer 1

This claim appears to be false. According to the USDA (US Department of Agriculture), the consumer price index for all food increased by 0.4% in one months and increased by 3.2% in one year. More specifically, it states that the CPI for grocery specific foods have raised by 0.4% in one month and increased by 2.7% in one year. These finding are all based on the Food Price Outlook data files. These data files are done through the Department of Labor which releases monthly updates on the CPI. It analyzes price changes over time which then leads to a structured prediction for the change in CPI percentages. Due to this being a government backed verification process that is held to national standards, it is a reliable and unbiased source. In 2025 overall prices of food are expected to increase by 3%, in addition to that, in 2026 prices of food are expected to increase by 2.7%. So while there might be outlying products that have decreased in cost, food as a whole in the U.S has significantly increased and it forecasting to continue to increase in price. 

https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/food-price-outlook/summary-findings 

https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/food-price-outlook

Answer 2

This claim is misleading and contrary to grocery price data. The first suspicious element is that there is no source to back up your claim. My first source to prove that grocery prices have been up is from The Wall Street Journal, an article titled "Grocery prices keep rising. Frustrated Consumers are Trying to Adapt". The article claims that beef prices are at a record high, and coffee has cost consumers more than $1 per pound, an abnormally high price. Another source, the USDA claims that food prices rose faster than overall inflation in the last year (https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/food-price-outlook/summary-findings). It also claims that food prices in August 2025 were 3.2% higher than August 2024. NPR claims that grocery prices have gone up 29% since February 2020 (https://www.npr.org/2025/09/19/nx-s1-5539547/grocery-prices-tariffs-food-inflation). The first and third sources are well known, established news sources which are not to be trusted all the time, but when many sources align to say the same message, it becomes more legitimate. The second source was data from the Consumer Price Index.

Answer 3

This claim is incorrect, various sources state that grocery prices have been rising since 2020. 

According to USA Today, grocery prices have risen due to chain supply disruptions from COVID-19 starting with eggs. At a climbing rate of 0.6%, in the same article it's stated grocery prices are "the fastest monthly rate change for groceries since October of 2022..." https://www.usatoday.com/story/grocery/2025/09/23/why-grocery-prices-going-up/86296793007/ Trump campaigned on lowering costs of groceries during reelection, but items like bacon have raised by $.33 as seen on NBC news. This directly proves the claim of grocery prices to be decreasing, wrong. Orange juice and beef are "at least 10% more expensive than they were a year ago." This article also included a graph on 6 food items with raised prices. https://www.nbcnews.com/data-graphics/grocery-price-tracker-inflation-trends-eggs-bread-trump-administration-rcna191508 Nearly 71% of goods in the US are facing Trumps tariffs. They are planning on increasing for nearly 80 countries. In the year 2024 $221 billion of food products was imported, $163 billion of that initial cost faced tariffs. Effecting nearly 75% of food imports into the US, according to Tax Foundation https://taxfoundation.org/blog/trump-tariffs-food-prices/ 

These sources prove this claim to be wrong. 

Answer 4

This is false! Although prices have decreased from the 2022 spike (COVID) prices are actively raising. According to the US Department of Agriculture, "The food-at-home (grocery store or supermarket food purchases) CPI increased 0.4 percent from July 2025 to August 2025 and was 2.7 percent higher than in August 2024."  Although the Covid spike could have contributed to the high numbers, reports are showing that prices are raising. I visited CBS new's site and checked where thy got there data. They said they got it from the Bereau of Labor statistic. I went to there website to make sue the data matched and it did. CBS said, "In August, the Consumer Price Index — a key measure of inflation across the U.S. economy — rose by 0.2%. That brought the annual inflation rate to 2.9%, compared with 2.7% in July".  Overall, this claim is false.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/price-tracker/
https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/food-price-outlook/summary-findings

https://www.bls.gov/regions/mid-atlantic/data/averageretailfoodandenergyprices_usandwest_table.htm

Answer 5

This claim is false, according to NPR as of September of 2025, Grocery store prices are up 29% since February of 2020, with Trumps import tariffs the most recent catalyst for rising prices in imported goods such as bananas and coffee. According to the US bureau of labor statistics, the prices of most meat, fruit and dairy products are also up from August of 2024.

https://www.npr.org/2025/09/19/nx-s1-5539547/grocery-prices-tariffs-food-inflation

https://www.bls.gov/regions/mid-atlantic/data/averageretailfoodandenergyprices_usandwest_table.htm

Answer 6

The claim that grocery prices in the United States have gone down is false according to current official data. While consumers may notice short-term discounts on certain products, overall grocery costs continue to rise in 2025. To verify this, I reviewed multiple primary and secondary sources, including the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Economic Research Service (USDA ERS), and recent news analyses.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the “food at home” index—which measures grocery store prices—increased 2.7% over the 12 months ending August 2025, and rose 0.5% from July to August, showing a continued upward trend rather than a decline (BLS CPI Report, 2025). The Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) confirms this trajectory: the seasonally adjusted food at home index climbed from 311.3 in April 2025 to 314.6 in August 2025, illustrating consistent inflation in grocery costs (FRED, 2025). Likewise, the USDA ERS Food Price Outlook projects a 2.4% average annual increase in grocery prices for 2025, signaling that food costs will likely keep rising (USDA ERS, 2025).

To supplement these primary sources, I consulted CBS News, which summarized the same BLS data and reported that grocery costs remain higher than last year, adding that “rising food prices continue to challenge households nationwide.” (CBS News, 2025). These secondary analyses align with the official figures.

While isolated categories—such as eggs or seasonal produce—may occasionally show price dips, these fluctuations are temporary and do not represent a broad decrease in grocery inflation. The BLS and USDA are impartial government agencies with no commercial incentive to distort price trends, whereas media sources like CBS News rely directly on those datasets for reporting.

No single individual or organization could be identified as the original source of this claim; it appears to have circulated on social media without attribution. I searched for any official statements suggesting falling grocery prices and found none.

Overall, the evidence overwhelmingly contradicts the claim. Grocery prices have risen modestly but steadily over the past year, and both government statistics and forecasts indicate continued inflation in 2025. Therefore, the statement that “grocery prices in the United States have gone down” is misleading and factually inaccurate.

Answer 7

In 2025 overall food prices are likely to rise faster than the historical average rate of growth. In 2025, prices for all food are predicted to rise by 3.0 percent, with a prediction interval of 2.6 to 3.4 percent. Food-at-home prices are predicted to increase 2.4 percent, with a prediction interval of 1.8 to 2.9 percent. Food-away-from-home prices are predicted to increase 3.9 percent, with a prediction interval of 3.6 to 4.1 percent. While eggs, bread and fruit have decreased other items due to tarifs and other factors have made the prices for groceries increase. I was able to fact check using the USDA food price outlook

Answer 8

This is definitely false. I claim this is false because Lately when I have been going to the grocery stores ive noticed the prices go up. 

This past year food prices are anticipated to rise faster than the historical average rate of growth, and next year in 2026 the food prices are supposed to increase more slowly but it is still for sure going to increase.

 https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/food-price-outlook/summary-findings

In 2026, prices for all food are predicted to increase 2.7 percent

This year (2025), overall food prices are predicted to rise 3.0 percent faster than their 20 year historical overage rate of price increase. for all of 2025 prices for eggs, beef and veal, sugar and sweets and nonalcoholic beverages have grown faster, than the average rate.