Question

Grocery prices in the United States have gone down

Answer 1

Interestingly, the opposite appears to be true. Though Politifact's analysis of a Trump claim that grocery prices are down showed that, while certain items have decreased, such as eggs or bread, it remains that the vast majority of grocery items have increased, including most meats, coffee, dairy, and sweets. According to the Consumer Price Index, prices overall have continued to rise nearly every month this year, with August's increase over July being the "biggest jump in grocery prices in almost three years," as noted by NPR. Though the official numbers for September will not be released until Wednesday, Oct. 15, 2025, the USDA's forecast for the rest of 2025 does not appear favorable, citing predictions made by the Economic Research Service (ERS) that suggest that "in 2025, prices for all food are predicted to increase 3.0 percent, with a prediction interval of 2.6 to 3.4 percent." Further, data from the Federal Reserve Economic Data Consumer Price Index for Food in Urban Areas shows a higher rate of increase over the past five years than in years prior. 

As such, this claim is false, barring some extreme change in food policy or the economy at large.

Answer 2

This claim appears to be false. Although there is no accompanying article, it's a claim that has been discussed ever since President Trump's second term begun, as he said multiple times during his campaign that he was going to lower food prices. Multiple sources have recently fact-checked Trump's claim that grocery prices are lower.

In this CNN article, the writer wrote that in August of 2025, prices rose 0.6% since the last month, and are up 2.7% from a year ago. They got this information from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index table that was last modified on September 11th of 2025. For the food-at-home section, which is food at home from grocery expenditures, it does list a 2.7% increase in total of prices, and a 0.6% jump between July and August.

Similarly, the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Food Price Outlook for 2025 and 2026, which also uses the data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, says that overall food prices in 2025 are predicted to increase by 3%, faster than the historical average. Although, they predict that food-at-home will increase slower than overall food prices in general, grocery prices are not expected to fall anytime soon. Specifically, beef, other meat, and fresh vegetables have all risen in price dramatically.

Overall, this claim appears to be false. 

Answer 3

This claim is false; grocery prices have not gone down in the United States. According the economic research service the CPI also known as the consumer price index has gone up by 2.9 percent since August of 2024. Food prices continue to rise faster than overall inflation. In 2025 it is predicted that prices for all food will be increased by three percent. We were able to see a big inflation on certain at-home meals such as meat at grocery stores, especially during the outbreak of the coronavirus. Following the pandemic in 2022 we see food prices increased by 9.9 percent which is faster than any year since 1979.

Comments

I agree that your fact-check clearly shows prices haven’t gone down, but you could make it even stronger by including a source like the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI report. That would help confirm the 2.9% increase you mentioned.

Answer 4

While certain grocery items have declined in price over the years, the general trend for all grocery prices has been upward. The CPI (consumer price index) and the ERS (economic research service) have provided data that show how prices for food have increased year after year. However, this year it has been increasing at a slower pace, which is maybe where the author got confused. The CPI for food rose 3.2% from August 2024 to August 2025; the grocery prices specifically rose 2.7%. According to the ERS, the forecast of grocery prices is projected to see a 2.4% increase in the year 2025, which is ever so slightly below the historical average, which is 2.6%. I could see where the claim could be misinterpreted if the author was just focusing on items like bread, which has had a decrease in price of 3.2% and not items like coffee and ground beef, which have had a price increase of about 11%.

Overall, based on the numbers, this claim appears to be exaggerated/misleading.

Answer 5

This claim is not true. According to several sources, including the USDA Food Price Outlook, it seems that food prices have actually increased. The original claim has no source they referenced but it has been a statement discussed by many since Trump was re-elected and something he campaigned on. The first source I found was from USDA (https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/food-price-outlook/summary-findings) and elaborated on the CPI and food prices. They stated, "The all-items Consumer Price Index (CPI), a measure of economy-wide inflation, increased 0.3 percent from July 2025 to August 2025 and was up 2.9 percent from August 2024". This quote supports the fact that overall the Consumer Price Index has been increased and they further elaborate on food prices specifically. The CPI for food increased 0.4% from July 2025 to August 2025. Another source I found was NPR (https://www.npr.org/2025/09/19/nx-s1-5539547/grocery-prices-tariffs-food-inflation), there is potentially bias here as NPR has been known to be a more left -leaning and progressive media source. They address directly how Trump has done the opposite of what he said he would do and the tariffs he's implemented are actually increasing the prices of imported foods. NPR also uses evidence from the Bureau of Labor Statistics stating that the price of groceries is "Up 29% since February 2020". With all this information it can be shown that the original claim is false and food prices have actually had an increase.