1. Brief overall summary of your findings
The claim that U.S. adult obesity has declined from 39.9% in 2022 to 37% in 2025 is supported by recent Gallup survey data. The decline coincides with a significant increase in the use of GLP-1 weight-loss drugs such as Ozempic and Wegovy. While the data is self-reported and cannot prove causation, it suggests a correlation between increased access to weight-loss medications and modest reductions in obesity rates.
2. Primary sources
Gallup Survey Data
Gallup surveyed nearly 17,000 U.S. adults and reported a decline in self-reported obesity rates between 2022 and 2025. The same data shows a sharp increase in the percentage of adults using GLP-1 weight-loss drugs.
https://www.gallup.com/
Clinical research on GLP-1 medications
Peer-reviewed studies show that GLP-1 drugs are effective for individual weight loss, supporting the plausibility of the trend observed in the survey data.
https://www.nejm.org/
3. Secondary sources
CBS News article
The CBS News article summarizes Gallup’s findings and places them in a broader public health context. It clearly notes that the data is self-reported and does not claim definitive causation.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/obesity-rate-declining-weight-loss-drugs/
4. Potential biases or interests
Gallup’s data relies on self-reported height and weight, which may underestimate obesity rates. Media coverage may also emphasize positive trends related to weight-loss drugs due to public interest and pharmaceutical influence. However, Gallup is a well-established polling organization with transparent methodology.
5. Evidence that supports the claim
The Gallup survey shows a measurable decline in self-reported obesity rates alongside a large increase in GLP-1 drug use. The strongest declines occurred among adults aged 40–64, aligning with the demographic most likely to use these medications.
6. Evidence that undermines the claim
Because the data is self-reported, it may not fully reflect actual obesity rates. Additionally, the survey shows correlation but does not prove that weight-loss drugs are the direct cause of the decline.