AI will replace 90% of jobs by 2030

Question

This claim was an interesting one and definitely caught my attention because of extreme thought behind it and is not so hard to believe but who know? According to the source I found by, Windows Central, an AI researcher named Roman Yampolskiy warned that we could see this major level of job loss within just a few years due to how fast AI is seen to be advancing. “In a chilling revelation, AI safety expert Roman Yampolskiy warns of a staggering 99.999999% chance that artificial intelligence could lead to humanity’s demise, as top tech companies race blindly toward profitability without understanding the profound implications of their creations.”(Windows Central ). I can see where that fear comes from because AI has both good and bad but as it’s already seen taking over certain roles such as customer service chats, writing tools, and even creative jobs. Seeing how fast this technology is moving it is easy to imagine why people are worrying about almost every job being replaced. 

At the same time, I don’t necessarily think that the 90% number feels realistic. While AI is definitely changing the ways people work, most jobs still require and will need some kind of human input, especially when it comes to creativity, emotional understanding, and decision making. A lot of experts believe that instead of replacing humans entirely, AI can help mostly with how we work when its comes to helping with our tasks and even speeding up certain parts of jobs. So even though the claim makes a strong point about the risks of relying too much on AI technology, I see it more as a warning about how careful we should be when it comes to AI usage and prepare for the ways AI might reshape our future, instead of looking forward to its “complete takeover”. 

Answer 1

This claim, while extremely realistic and believable, is not entirely true. Yes, AI is evolving at an extremely high rate and will be taking jobs, but not quickly enough to make such an impact in just a couple years. According to Forbes, "A McKinsey report projects that by 2030, 30% of current U.S. jobs could be automated, with 60% significantly altered by AI tools." So yes, 90% of jobs could be impacted by 2030, but not all of them completely replaced. CNN addressed this issue further, with a striking claim that AI is "coming for your job", followed by the information that employers all plan to downsize their workforce and bring in the inclusion of AI automation, but only by 41%. Additionally, The Mckinsey Global Institute shared that while jobs may be replaced, more job opportunities can open up. In an analysis they found that "with sufficient economic growth, innovation, and investment, there can be enough new job creation to offset the impact of automation." This is seen in the CNN article, as "Close to 70% of companies are planning to hire new workers with skills to design AI tools and enhancements, and 62% intend to recruit more people with skills to better work alongside AI." AI is bringing in job opportunities for people with a new type of skill set, working with AI. That opens up a new job market for the upcoming generation of the workforce. To sum it up, AI will be replacing jobs, and many of them, by 2030. But, it won't be replacing 90%, and will also be opening up more jobs.