Every year following the present, is likely to set a new heat record

Question

In 2023, the average global temperature was 2.12°F above pre-industrial levels, which at the time made it the record high. However, in 2024, it was found that the average global temperature had risen even higher – to 2.30°F above pre-industrial levels. If you look at data from previous years (https://science.nasa.gov/earth/explore/earth-indicators/global-temperature/) there is an obvious pattern in rising heat temperatures. 

That being said, with the state of global warming and climate change, I find it extremely unlikely that the coming years’ average temperatures will stabilize, or drop for that matter. Because of the data pattern, I believe the global temperature will unfortunately continue to rise.

Answer 1

Think of this as your investigation log. Answer each question to explain what you discovered and how you got there.

 

First, I appreciate that the source that you used is both reliable and credible. After further research, I can conclude that your claim appears to be true. 

The sources that I found started off with WMO (WMO). WMO, or the world meteorological organization also agreed with this statement. Through graphs and other forms of statistics you can see that it is trending upwards for average global temperature as years go on. In addition, I found another article from NASA (NASA) that shows that 2024 is the warmest year on record and it continues to trend up.

Although I do believe that every source has its own bias, I believe that these are both sources that seem very factual rather than opinionated.

All in all, I do think that although it is tough to confidently determine the weather in the future, it is trending in a direction that each additional year will have a higher average temperature.

Answer 2

I agree with this fact-check. It is correct that 2023 and 2024 were both record-hot years. The only correction would be the context behind what those temperature increases actually mean. The figures listed (2.12F for 2023 and 2.30F for 2024) come from NASA and NOAA, which are credible sources. However, they're measured relative to the 20th-century average (1951-1980) no to pre-industrial times (1850-1900). That being said, the overall conclusion still stands that both years broke records and fit the long-term warming pattern. Multiple datasets (like NASA and NOAA) all confirm that 2024 was the warmest year on record and that the trend is continuing upward, not stabilizing.

https://science.nasa.gov/earth/explore/earth-indicators/global-temperature/

Answer 3

Due to the current state of our global warming, I can absolutely see this continuing.

Answer 4

The claim that " Every year after this one will probably break a new record" is mostly true based on what scientists know about the climate. NASA’s Earth Science division says that earth's average temperature has been rising over 100 years, and it's getting faster now. NASA's data shows that 2023 and 2024 were the hottest years yet, with 2024 about 2.30 fahrenheit warmer than before the industrial era.  

Other trusted sources, like NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration), also report that the last ten years have been the warmest on record. scientists say this warming is mainly caused by greenhouse gases, like carbon dioxide, from burning fuels like coal and oil. If things don't change, it's very likely that the planet will keep getting hotter and future years will set new heat records. 

The evidence clearly supports this claim. Data from satellites and scientific studies all show the same pattern of rising temperatures. while short term cooling can happen from things like volcanoes or weather cycles, the overall trend is still warming. 

Answer 5

This claim is true but slightly exaggerated, through both looking into the primary source used in the claim and researching secondary sources it is proven that global temperatures are rising at record breaking rates. The primary source used in this claim does state that there has been a long term trend of rising temperatures. A New York Times article “2023 Was the Hottest Year on Record” backs up this claim by talking about how the trend of increased tempatures every year is predicted to continue. The primary source used in this claim is a trustworthy since NASA is a program that relies on science and data. However in the New York Times article “2023 Was the Hottest Year on Record” also mentions how temperatures may not rise every year but over longer periods of time there is a trend in increased temperatures. There for while there has most certainly been a rise in temperatures over the years it may not be every single year.

Answer 6

Yeah, that’s mostly true — the global temperature trend has definitely been setting new records in recent years. According to NOAA’s global climate data, 2023 was around 1.35°C (2.43°F) above pre-industrial levels, and 2024 is tracking close to or slightly above that, depending on the dataset. The exact numbers vary a bit by source, but the overall pattern lines up: we’re seeing record or near-record warmth pretty much every year lately. So while there might be small differences in the figures, the claim that global temps keep rising holds up overall. NOAA’s numbers line up with the overall trend too, though the exact figures are a bit different — they show 2023 was about 2.43°F above pre-industrial levels and 2024 around 2.63°F, so still a record high. The only minor note is that, because of sudden events like El Niño or volcanic activity, NOAA notes that not every year will break the previous record. “The El Niño that emerged in mid-2023 contributed to record global temperatures through the first half of 2024.”On a more general level, however, the warming trend is definitely persisting.

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/global-climate-202401

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/global-climate-202413

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/global-climate-202312

Answer 7

The claim being argued is that average global temperatures have been rising every year and will continue to rise, setting new heat records each time. Based on the source used, the evidence provided by NASA supports this claim, and I have concluded it to be true. NASA (https://science.nasa.gov/earth/explore/earth-indicators/global-temperature/) has been tracking land-ocean temperatures since 1880. Their key takeaway from this research is that the 10 most recent years are the warmest on record, and according to the graph, temperatures have been following an upward trend.

Many other organizations have been tracking similar data, including the NOAA (https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-global-temperature). According to them, 2024 was the warmest year since global records began in 1850, with the anomaly being 0.18 degrees warmer than the previous record. The NOAA says this rise is due to “human-produced greenhouse gases causing the Earth to absorb more energy than it radiates back to space.”

Another article by the United Nations (https://www.un.org/en/climatechange/science/causes-effects-climate-change) supports both the claim of rising global temperatures and the underlying cause. They note that greenhouse gas emissions are 68% caused by fossil fuels. This not only explains the years temperature increase but also contributes to severe storms, increased drought, loss of species, and other environmental impacts.

Answer 8

The claim being argued is that average global temperatures have been rising every year and will continue to rise, setting new heat records each time. Based on the source used, the evidence provided by NASA supports this claim, and I have concluded it to be true. NASA (https://science.nasa.gov/earth/explore/earth-indicators/global-temperature/) has been tracking land-ocean temperatures since 1880. Their key takeaway from this research is that the 10 most recent years are the warmest on record, and according to the graph, temperatures have been following an upward trend.

Many other organizations have been tracking similar data, including the NOAA (https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-global-temperature). According to them, 2024 was the warmest year since global records began in 1850, with the anomaly being 0.18 degrees warmer than the previous record. The NOAA says this rise is due to “human-produced greenhouse gases causing the Earth to absorb more energy than it radiates back to space.”

Another article by the United Nations (https://www.un.org/en/climatechange/science/causes-effects-climate-change) supports both the claim of rising global temperatures and the underlying cause. They note that greenhouse gas emissions are 68% caused by fossil fuels. This not only explains the years temperature increase but also contributes to severe storms, increased drought, loss of species, and other environmental impacts.